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When Will Debt Capital Be Available Again? When Will Hiring Develop Strength? | International Residential Real Estate Investors Association
Monday January 22nd 2018

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When Will Debt Capital Be Available Again? When Will Hiring Develop Strength?

Banks continue working on their  balance sheet issues.  In spite of record profits, many are still cleaning up  the mess caused by loose lending practices and falling asset values.  That said, a few are beginning to enter the market as lenders when the leverage is right and the performance is strong.  This trend will increase significantly late in the coming quarter  and through the end of the year.

Further, the debt crisis in Europe may  damage some U.S. banks.  In general, the effect will be relatively muted.  Instead, this financial event will extend the prolonged extraordinary low debt environment.  This fact alone will make late 2010 financing options more available and attractive than they’ve been for the rental / multifamily area for the past 3 years.

Next, the federal government will soon roll out a small business focused financial program that will loosen operating capital debt.

The continued economic boom of China and gathering strength of the emerging Asian economies will provide strength for commodity  exports and high end manufacturing exports that the U.S. excells producing providing a solid base without further federal economic stimulus.

These events will come together in the  fourth quarter driven by small business finally being able to access cash for hiring.  U.S. payroll increases while continuing at still tepid rate through the  summer and early fall, will leap forward anticipating the holiday  season and finally overcoming the restraints that have dampened hiring while profits were strong through the spring, summer and fall.

Thus, in late 2010, the U.S. economy  will see:

  • Very strong stock market gains,
  • A strong and strengthening  dollar versus all but Asian economies but including the  Japanese Yen,
  • Rapid employment growth, and
  • Available lending for U.S. real estate including existing and new construction.

Equity investors and group need to prepare their plans accordingly.

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